Key Judgments I. Domestic Political Landscape: Executive Orders, Legal Battles, and Policy Trends Context and Assessment Over...
Preparedness
The breakdown of global governance and international cooperation poses a significant threat to global stability and security....
Introduction Imagine looking up at the night sky, stars twinkling serenely above. Now imagine one of those...
Introduction Nuclear war. It’s a phrase that sends chills down the spine. For many, it conjures images...
Introduction The prospect of radical sociopolitical transformation looms as a moderate but severe threat, with a 25%...
A solar storm, with a moderate probability of 20% and high impact, involves powerful solar flares or...
Introduction The rapid emergence of novel technologies with dual-use potential presents unprecedented opportunities and significant risks. Advanced...
Introduction The collapse of oceanic circulation patterns, with an estimated probability of 15% and severe global impact,...
Introduction A biological weapon attack, with a moderate probability of 20% and severe impact, involves the deliberate...
Introduction What if Earth’s magnetic field suddenly flipped? A geomagnetic reversal—a rare but possible event—could disrupt communications,...